Planning

What is Liquidity?

Are your investments liquid or illiquid? When a holding is liquid, it simply means you can sell it anytime the market in which it trades is open for business, without losing your proverbial shirt in the exchange. If it’s illiquid, you cannot sell it, at least not for anything near what it’s worth.

Degrees of Liquidity

Cash and cash equivalents (such as checking or savings accounts) are the most liquid assets of all. All day, every day, you can almost always find somebody who will gladly give you something relatively worthwhile in exchange for your cash.

At the other end of the spectrum, some investments are highly illiquid, which means your ability to trade in and out of them whenever you please is strictly limited.  

For example, many hedge funds and similar closely held vehicles may routinely impose lockup periods, during which you are prohibited from selling your investment. You may be prohibited from withdrawing any of your money until you’ve owned the holding for at least a year, plus your ability to withdraw funds after that may be limited to specific windows of opportunity such as once per quarter or twice per year.

Also, normally liquid investments can become illiquid under duress. As Ben Carlson observed on his Wealth of Common Sense blog, the following adage applies so well, it’s become a bit cliché: “Liquidity is like oxygen. You don’t notice that you need it until it’s not there.”

 To cite an extreme example, during the September 11th 2001 attacks, the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ markets did not open for business that Tuesday; they remained closed until the following Monday. During that time, investors could not trade on either exchange, effectively rendering most of their investment portfolio illiquid for those four days.

 Individual securities or sectors can also shift dramatically from liquid to illiquid, especially if investor panic sets in. An example is when the bottom dropped out on the Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO) market in 2007, contributing to the subsequent global financial crisis.

 Finding Middle Ground

Between these extremes of highly liquid/illiquid holdings, you’ll find most of the investments that are most familiar to you. Mutual funds; exchange-traded funds (ETFs); stocks and bonds; and similar publicly held, exchange-traded securities are typically relatively liquid. They don’t flow in and out of your accounts as freely as cash, but even in turbulent markets you can usually sell them in a same-day transaction. (Mutual funds trade once daily at the end of the trading day. Individual securities and ETFs trade at prices that fluctuate throughout the day.)

It’s also worth noting, some investments can be more or less liquid or illiquid, depending on how you hold them. Real estate is a prime example.  

·      If you own a piece of property directly, it’s relatively illiquid. Even in a stable market, it can take days, weeks, or months to sell your property once you’re ready to do so.

·      A non-traded Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) may be at least as challenging to unload whenever you please. Typically, the non-traded REIT’s board – not you – will decide when and how trading is permitted.

·      A publicly traded REIT mutual fund or ETF is usually as liquid as any other mutual fund or ETF. Even though the fund’s underlying holdings may be relatively illiquid, you can usually sell your shares in that fund whenever public markets are open for business.

Liquidity: A Part of the Plan

Bottom line, cash (and cash equivalents) is the closest you come to having a completely liquid asset. This means it’s important to have plenty of it on hand to cover near-term spending needs. We recommend budgeting for expected expenses as well as the inevitable surprises.

That said, cash will only take you so far. It’s highly likely to lose rather than gain worth over time, as inflation eats away its spending power.

As such, a degree of illiquidity – or the inability to convert an investment back into cash whenever you please – is essential to building wealth. It’s the stuff from which investment returns are made.

We suggest managing liquidity as one consideration among many, achieving a balance that’s right for you. Maintain enough liquidity to ensure you’re never forced to sell a less-liquid investment just to get at the cash. Accept a degree of illiquidity in your soundly structured portfolio, to judiciously seek premium market returns over the long-term. Understand when illiquidity is essential to pursuing higher returns, versus when you’re just taking on extra risk, without much else to show for it.

Could you use some assistance on making these determinations? We’re here to help!

Why is Planning for the Future So Hard?

I was chatting with a new client this week and they mentioned that they just weren’t bothered about saving for the future. They said that they wanted to live in the here and now and that they would worry about the future when it actually happened.  It's an interesting perspective and it got me thinking about WHY it is so difficult to concern ourselves about the future.

We all know if we started saving at 25 that we’d have a lot more money when we retire, than if we start saving at 35. If you are not sure why, then read my recent blog about it here. However, I know that this motivates very few of us to start saving at a young age, including myself. I didn’t get really serious about my savings and investments until I was almost 30.

Things are stacked against us

We all want immediate gratification. We want things now. There is no instant reward in putting aside £200 a month for 60-year old you, especially if you have just got going in your career and really want to upgrade your car.  Keeping up with the Jones is alive and well - more so than ever in our social media age. And don’t think it’s just the young millennials that are over-sharing new purchases and flash holidays on Instagram and Facebook - 61% of Facebook users in the UK are over 30.

Plus YOLO - you only live once.  Surely it’s better to make the most of what you have now as you can’t be sure you will be around in future. What’s the point in saving for a future that you cannot guarantee will happen? All of these are valid and understandable points but we should plan optimisically for living a long and healthy life!

Making friends with Future You

It’s hard to identify with our future selves if we haven’t really thought about the kind of person we will be and the lifestyle we will have in 10, 20, 30+ years time. It’s very hard to imagine yourself as an older person after all. In his eye-opening TEDTalk about the battle between our current and future selves, psychologist Dan Gilbert describes this as “the ease of remembering vs the difficulty of imagining”. The talk is definitely worth watching to understand how much can change in decade of your life and how little you think you are going to change.

Your present and future selves are strangers to each other unless you can construct a very vivid vision of your future. If you feel disconnected to your future self then saving for your retirement might make you feel like you are simply handing out £100 a month to a random stranger in the street.

In 2009 psychologist Hal Ersner-Hershfield conducted a study which looked at how connected people felt to their future. American Scientific summarised the results as:

Among the people in the study those who most identified with their future selves planned their life with longer-term payoffs in mind: they saved more money and as a consequence had amassed more wealth than others.  

So it’s worth putting the time in now to build a vivid vision of your future - one that motivates and inspires you to work hard and put money away now - even though the payoff is not immediate. Once you feel more connected with Future You, only then you will want to work hard to support your new best friend.  After all, if you want Future You to be able to quit the rat race at 45 and buy a vineyard in the South of France, then Current You needs to lay the groundwork now.

So how do you go about getting to know Future You?

As we have seen, it’s easier to make good financial decisions when you feel connected to your future self and a good way to do this is to vividly visualise the future. Here are some ideas to get you going:

1.    Use a photo app  to ‘age’ a current photo for you and your family. What do you all look like at 50 and 60 and 70? This can help you imagine what you all might be doing in the future.

2.    Build a mood-board of whatever you are saving for - a sabbatical, retirement, finishing work 5 years earlier. Find images of the exact dream house you would like to live in, the kind of holidays you would take, the car you would drive. Even if you just want to maintain what you have then you will need to update your car from time to time and repair and refresh your home. Pinterest can help you do this.

3.    Get Future You to email you to check on your progress and remind you of your goals. Futureme.org allows you to send yourself emails from the future.

The power of visualisation

We now know your future vision has to be in 3D 4K quality to trick your brain into caring. One of the most important steps I take my clients through is ‘Vision Building’ - this is usually the point where my clients start to get excited about finances.  A rarity, I know! I get my clients to ask themselves some pretty big questions about:

·       Where you want to live

·       What kind of lifestyle you want

·       What standard of travel you want to enjoy

·       What holidays you will take

·       What kind of home you want to live in

Why don't you document your dream future today based on the question above today? Send it to me - I'm always interested to see what people dream of doing in the future!